Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.260368 0.300726 0.345074 0.397393 0.457410 0.524082 0.603750
2024-10-06 0.208327 0.263592 0.329800 0.414856 0.521138 0.649480 0.816177
2024-10-13 0.162864 0.224010 0.303274 0.413307 0.561872 0.755280 1.026021
2024-10-20 0.133612 0.198482 0.288897 0.423648 0.618912 0.891092 1.298853
2024-10-27 0.106131 0.169415 0.263788 0.414034 0.646469 0.991527 1.541751
2024-11-03 0.091061 0.155309 0.257250 0.429654 0.712771 1.157836 1.908836
2024-11-10 0.079372 0.143983 0.252585 0.446834 0.783907 1.342483 2.335309
2024-11-17 0.067179 0.129196 0.239272 0.446837 0.826172 1.486625 2.718990
2024-11-24 0.057075 0.115993 0.226080 0.444237 0.862787 1.625986 3.116167
2024-12-01 0.049116 0.105167 0.215103 0.443400 0.901870 1.774860 3.553304
2024-12-08 0.042893 0.096506 0.206597 0.445554 0.946533 1.940098 4.046395
2024-12-15 0.038480 0.090727 0.202763 0.456284 1.009730 2.150051 4.659248
2024-12-22 0.033657 0.083195 0.194157 0.455981 1.051201 2.325319 5.235254
2024-12-29 0.030430 0.078687 0.191367 0.468048 1.121717 2.572465 6.004490
2025-01-05 0.026438 0.071497 0.181131 0.461153 1.148327 2.728726 6.599163
2025-01-12 0.023874 0.067369 0.177417 0.469184 1.211357 2.976561 7.442883
2025-01-19 0.020610 0.060691 0.166140 0.456323 1.221337 3.102651 8.019333
2025-01-26 0.019085 0.058470 0.165912 0.471958 1.305900 3.420873 9.115501
2025-02-02 0.017796 0.056655 0.166435 0.489725 1.399149 3.774877 10.357388
2025-02-09 0.015965 0.052820 0.160664 0.489028 1.442603 4.008426 11.323553
2025-02-16 0.014277 0.049055 0.154386 0.485727 1.478316 4.227183 12.284973
2025-02-23 0.012860 0.045843 0.149133 0.484508 1.519887 4.468290 13.346151
2025-03-02 0.011700 0.043226 0.145209 0.486653 1.571905 4.746600 14.556532